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Sports Gambling - Making Sense of NFL Nonsense

Sports gambling has an old adage when it comes to gambling with pro football which goes like this; “If it makes sense it won’t win.”

Sports gambling fans have seen that wisdom come to light recently as there have been stunning sports gambling online results in the 2009 season. Perhaps the biggest sports gambling upset of the season occurred on November 22 when the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the defending world champion Pittsburgh Steelers 27-24 as 10-point home dogs.

The Chiefs were 2-7 entering the sports gambling online matchup and had played poorly for most of the year.  Online sports gambling handicappers learned a valuable lesson, however, that when it comes to NFL gambling there are truly no sure things.

That same day another sports gambling laughingstock, the Oakland Raiders, upset the Cincinnati Bengals 20-17 as 9.5-point home dogs.  The Bengals were one of the top sports gambling commodities in the league as they were leading the AFC Central Division with a mark of 7-2 while the Raiders were 2-8.

There are times when such sports gambling results defy not only logic but explanation.  There was more sports gambling nonsense in the previous week as the hapless Washington Redskins upset the AFC West Division leading Denver Broncos 27-17 as 4.5-point home dogs.

Washington entered the game 2-7 and with a coach that was stripped of any meaningful power.  Perhaps the biggest sports gambling swings of ill-logic came from the Green Bay Packers.  After losing to the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-38 as 9.5-point road favorites and fall to an even 4-4 the Packers were written off for dead.

So what happened next?  Well, of course, the Pack roared back to win its next 3 consecutive sports gambling matchups starting with a 17-7 home win over the NFC East Division leading Dallas Cowboys as 3-point home dogs.

What all of this at the end demonstrates is that NFL handicappers cannot put too many eggs in any one basket and should be very careful about “foregone conclusions” and “conventional wisdom.”

To put it another way, the more you can’t see something coming in the NFL the more likely that you are about to be blind-sided.