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Super Bowl Gambling - Recent Trends

Super Bowl gambling has seen the underdogs beat the Super Bowl odds in 6 out of the last 8 seasons including the past two Super Sundays in 2008 and 2009.

Super Bowl gambling has also seen the under prevail with the over/under Super Bowl odds in 4 out of the last 5 Super Sundays with last year’s over snapping a 4-game under streak. The NFC Super Bowl gambling representative has beaten the Super Bowl odds in 5 out of the last 7 matchups as the NFC has usually been considered the weaker conference with those handicapping the odds to win Super Bowl matchups.

There are a wide variety of reasons for these recent Super Bowl gambling trends.  The recent success of the underdogs with the Super Bowl odds can be attributed as much to the hype leading up to the odds to win Super Bowl matchups as anything else.

One reality of Super Bowl gambling is that there is not a lot of reality regarding the media hype leading up to the game.

When it comes to the hype regarding a Super Bowl gambling matchup everything becomes bigger than life and the discussion and merits of the matchup become less sober and rational the closer the week gets to the actual Super Bowl gambling matchup.

Hype is also one of the leading reasons for the recent Super Bowl gambling trend of unders in the over/under results.  The offenses and quarterbacks often get the majority of Super Bowl gambling attention and this tends to put into the minds of the general public the expectation that Super Sunday is going to be a wild shootout.

This drives the Super Bowl gambling total up to where the under is an added value.  The top teams in recent Super Bowl gambling matchups have been from the AFC as the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots have been top shelf elite teams this decade.

This has driven the price up on both teams and made their NFC opponents tremendous values that were getting more points than merited.  The Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants have proven the past two years that there is greater value on a Super Bowl dog than with an overlay on the chalk.