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Patriots Favored at Home Over Chiefs in AFC Divisional Playoff Game

The AFC Divisional Playoffs start off with the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the New England Patriots on Saturday, January 16. The game at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to kick off at 4:35 PM ET. Currently, the Pats are a solid favorite to win at home.

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The Chiefs are 12-5 SU and 9-8 ATS so far this season. They are 6-3 on the road, and eight of their games have gone OVER the line, with eight going UNDER, and one being a PUSH. They are coming off of a 30-0 win over the Houston Texans, where they won against the spread as -3 point road favorites. The total went UNDER the 39 point line set by the sportsbook in that game.

The Patriots are 12-4 SU and 7-7-2 ATS overall this year. They are 7-1 at home, and nine of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other seven all going UNDER. They are coming off of a 20-10 loss to the Miami Dolphins, where they lost against the spread as -10 point road favorites. The total went UNDER the 46 ½ point line set by sports gambling pros in that one.

Kansas City is 5-0 ATS on the road, and 8-3 ATS overall lately. They are 5-2 ATS coming off of a win spreadwise, and 7-3 ATS after a SU win. They are 7-3 ATS against AFC opponents, and 3-7 ATS on Saturday. They are 1-6 ATS in playoff games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 7 games on Saturday, and UNDER in 5 of their last 6 in January. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 overall, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 against AFC teams. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 in the playoffs, and UNDER in 23 of their last 36 against teams with a winning record.

New England is 4-1-2 ATS at home lately, and 12-3-2 ATS at home against teams with a winning record on the road. They are 36-17-1 ATS coming off of a SU loss, and 5-11 ATS in the playoffs. They are 2-5 ATS on Saturday, and 2-5-1 ATS overall recently. They are 0-4-2 ATS against teams with a winning record overall.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 in the Divisional Round, and OVER in 5 of their last 6 on Saturday. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 playoff games, and OVER in 8 of their last 11 at home against teams with a winning record. The total has gone OVER in 10 of their last 14 in January, and OVER in 56 of their last 83 against the AFC.

Between these teams, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 matchups.

They last met in September 2014, when the Chiefs won 41-14, and won against the spread as 3 point home underdogs. The total went OVER the 45 point line set by the NFL betting experts for that matchup.

For Saturday's Divisional playoff game, the Patriots are listed in the gambling odds as -5 point home favorites. The over/under is set at 42 ½ points. On the moneyline, Kansas City is a +200, while New England is listed at -240.