Football odds handicappers have had to re-evaluate both the Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots as football betting commodities and that process may not be over. New England opened as a 4-point home favorite against the football odds for this matchup with a football betting total of 44.
The Atlanta Falcons are proving that last season’s surprise playoff run against the football odds was no fluke as they have opened this season 2-0 both straight up and against the spread. Last week the Falcons beat the Carolina Panthers 28-20 to get the cash as 6-point home favorites against the football odds.
This will be the Falcons first road game of the season. Quarterback Matt Ryan is the key to Atlanta’s success as he has a quarterback rating of 108.5 with a completion percentage of 68.3 and a 5/1 touchdown to interception ratio. The Falcons have a +4 turnover ratio and their defense ranks 5th against the football odds for points allowed.
The New England Patriots are 1-1 straight up and 0-2 against the football odds while playing poorly in both games. Last week the Patriots lost at the Jets 9-16 as 3.5-point chalks. Tom Brady has gotten off to a shaky start against the football odds as he has a 76.8 quarterback rating with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
The Patriots defense has been effective as it ranks 3rd against the football odds for yards allowed. The Patriots are a dangerous 19-7 against the spread when coming off a straight up loss that is countered by the fact that New England has become a serious overlay at home with a mark of 3-11 against the spread in their last 14 games as a host.
Atlanta has gone under the total in 37 out of their last 52 decisions on the road and the Falcons have gone under the total in 13 of their last 19 games as a road dog. While New England would figure to be sharp for this one their play thus far has not been encouraging.