In a game that may end up having serious implications for how the playoff seeding will go in this new era of college football, the Oregon Ducks will be hosting the Michigan State Spartans at Autzen Stadium this Saturday. This marks the third time they have met but it may the most important of those matches.
The Ducks and Spartans have only met twice before. This was part of a home-and-home series in 1998 and 1999. The two sides split with the Spartans winning 27-20 in their last match in 1999. This came in spite or Oregon being -7 favorites. The teams are 1-1 ATS in those games.
Oregon started their 2014 campaign with a 62-13 blowout over South Dakota. The Ducks did not cover the -52 spread but they did go over the 71.5 over/under. The Ducks have lost against the spread five times in their last six games. However, they have done better with their ATS totals in non-conference games as they have gone 5-1 in that category during those games.
Michigan State has been more successful in both winning games and winning against the spread. In addition to having won their last ten games, the Spartans have gone 8-2 ATS in that run. The most recent game for the Spartans was this past weekend when they beat Jacksonville State 45-7. The Spartans narrowly went over the -34 spread and the 49 over/under total.
The Spartans have also had some success in their last few non-conference games. They have gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last few non-conference games. Still, the team has gone under the point total in their last eight games that take place after they scored at least 40 points in a prior game.
The Oregon Ducks are strong favorites for this weekend's game. The Ducks have a -12 advantage for this game and a 56 over/under. The Ducks are listed at -450 on the moneyline bet while the Spartans have a much higher line at +375. This is a big line for a game that will have some real impacts on the playoffs this year.