The 2016 Battlefrog Fiesta Bowl takes place on Friday, January 1, and features the Notre Dame Fighting Irish taking on the Ohio State Buckeyes. The game at the University of Phoenix Stadium is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on ESPN and ESPN3. Currently, Ohio State is a solid favorite to win.
The Fighting Irish are 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS so far this season. Six of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other six going UNDER. They are coming off of a 38-36 loss to Stanford, where they won against the spread as 4 point road underdogs. The total went OVER the 57 point line set by the sportsbook in that game.
The Buckeyes are 11-1 SU and 5-7 ATS overall this year. Three of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other nine going UNDER. They are coming off of a 42-13 win over Michigan, where they won against the spread as -1 ½ point road favorites. The total went OVER the 46 ½ point line set by sports gambling pros for that tilt.
Notre Dame is 7-1 ATS against teams with a winning record, and 7-3 ATS in non-conference games. They are 7-3 ATS overall recently, and 2-5 ATS coming off of a SU loss. They are 1-4-1 ATS against Big Ten teams. The total has gone OVER in all 6 of their games after a SU loss, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games at a neutral site. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 11 against Big Ten teams, and UNDER in 23 of their last 34 after a win spreadwise. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 against teams with a winning record.
Ohio State is 4-0 ATS at a neutral site, and 4-1 ATS against independent teams. They are 5-2 ATS in bowl games, and 5-2 ATS when playing in January. They are 3-7 ATS coming off of a SU win. The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their games after a win spreadwise, and UNDER in 10 of their last 11 after a SU win. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 8 against teams with a winning record, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 bowl games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 in non-conference play, and UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games in January.
These teams last met in January 2006, when Ohio State won 34-20, and covered the spread as -4 point favorites. The total went UNDER the 56 ½ point line set by the oddsmakers for that matchup.
For Friday's Fiesta Bowl, Ohio State is listed in the betting odds as a -6 ½ point favorite. The over/under is set at 57 points. On the moneyline, the Fighting Irish are a +220, while Ohio State is a -260.