The 2016 Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl takes place on Friday, January 1, and features the Michigan Wolverines taking on the Florida Gators. The game at the Orlando Citrus Bowl is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on ABC. Currently, Michigan is favored to win.
The Wolverines are 9-3 SU and 6-6 ATS so far this season. Seven of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other five going UNDER. They are coming off of a 42-13 loss to Ohio State, where they failed to cover the spread as 1 ½ point home underdogs. The total went OVER the 46 ½ point line set by the sportsbook in that game.
The Gators are 10-3 SU and 8-5 ATS overall this year. Five of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other eight going UNDER. They are coming off of a 29-15 loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship game, where they won against the spread as 16 ½ point road underdogs. The total went OVER the 38 point line set by sports gambling experts in that tilt.
Michigan is 5-1 ATS after a SU loss, and 5-1 ATS coming off of a loss spreadwise. They are 3-8 ATS in non-conference matchups, and 1-3-1 ATS at a neutral site. The total has gone OVER in all 7 of their recent games overall, and OVER in all 4 of their games against the SEC. The total has gone OVER in all 5 of their games against teams with a winning record, and UNDER in 10 of their last 11 in non-conference play. The total has gone OVER in 7 of their last 9 at a neutral site, and OVER in 6 of their last 8 bowl games.
Florida is 5-0 ATS after a SU loss, and 5-0 ATS at a neutral site. They are 5-1 ATS in bowl games, and 5-1 ATS in January. They are 4-1 recently against Big Ten teams, and 10-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. They are 11-5 ATS overall recently. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games overall, and OVER in 5 of their last 6 against the Big Ten. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 after a win spreadwise, and OVER in 7 of their last 10 games in January.
These teams last met in January 2008, when Michigan won 41-35, and won against the spread as 10 point underdogs. The total went OVER the 61 ½ point line set by oddsmakers in that matchup.
For Friday's Citrus Bowl, Michigan is listed in the gambling odds as a -4 ½ point favorite. The over/under is set at 39 points. On the moneyline, the Gators are a +170, while the Wolverines are listed at -200.