Let's take a look at the NCAA Tournament Final Four matchup between the No. 2 Villanova Wildcats and the No. 2 Oklahoma Sooners. The game at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX, is scheduled to tip off at 6:09 PM ET, on Saturday, April 2. Currently, Villanova is a slight favorite to win this game.
The Wildcats are 33-5 SU and 19-17-1 ATS so far this season. Nineteen of their games have gone OVER the line, with seventeen going UNDER, and one being a PUSH. They are coming off of a 64-59 win over the Kansas Jayhawks, where they won against the spread as 2 point underdogs. The total went UNDER the 145 point line set by sports gambling websites in that Elite Eight matchup.
The Sooners are 29-7 SU and 14-20 ATS overall this year. Fifteen of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other nineteen all going UNDER. They are coming off of an 80-68 win over the Oregon Ducks, where they won against the spread as 1 point underdogs. The total went UNDER the 153 point line set by college basketball gambling bookmakers for that Elite Eight game.
Villanova is 4-0 ATS in the NCAA tournament, and 34-15-2 ATS against non-conference teams lately. They are 39-18-1 ATS against teams with a winning record overall.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 9 games against Big 12 opponents, and OVER in 5 of their last 6 coming off of a win spreadwise. The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 11 coming off of a SU win, and OVER in 10 of their last 13 games overall recently.
Oklahoma is 3-7 ATS in the NCAA touranment, and 2-5 ATS coming off of a SU win. They are 2-5 ATS against non-conference teams, and 4-13 ATS on Saturday. They are 2-7 ATS overall lately, and 3-11 ATS against teams with a winning record overall.
The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their recent games on Saturday, and UNDER in 8 of their last 9 coming off of a SU win. The total has gone UNDER in 12 of their last 14 games overall, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games coming off of a win spreadwise. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 against Big East teams.
These teams last met on December 7, 2015, when Oklahoma won 78-55, and won against the spread as 5 point road underdogs. The total went UNDER the 145 point line set by online sportsbook companies in that matchup.
For Saturday's Final Four game, the gambling odds list the Villanova Wildcats as -2 point favorites. The over/under is set at 146 points. On the moneyline, Villanova is a -135, with Oklahoma listed at +115.