The NCAA tournament returns on Thursday, as the No. 3 Miami-Florida Hurricanes take on the No. 2 Villanova Wildcats. The game at the KFC Yum Center in Louisville, KY, is scheduled to tip off at 7:10 PM ET. Currently, Villanova is a slight favorite to win this Sweet Sixteen game.
The Hurricanes are 27-7 SU and 19-13-1 ATS so far this season. Sixteen of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other seventeen all going UNDER. They are coming off of a 65-57 win over the Wichita State Shockers, where they won against the spread as 2 point underdogs. The total went UNDER the 129 point line set by NCAA basketball betting experts for that game.
The Wildcats are 31-5 SU and 17-17-1 ATS overall this year. Eighteen of their games have gone OVER the line, with sixteen going UNDER, and one being a PUSH. They are coming off of an 87-68 win over the Iowa Hawkeyes, where they won against the spread as -6 point favorites. The total went OVER the 146 ½ point line set by sports gambling sites in that matchup.
Miami-Florida is 13-4 ATS against non-conference opponents, and 21-8-1 ATS coming off of a SU win. They are 3-7-1 ATS playing on Thursday night, and 1-4 ATS against teams with a winning record. They are 1-4 ATS overall recently.
The total has gone OVER in all 4 of their games against the Big East, and OVER in 6 of their last 7 games at a neutral site. The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 11 in the NCAA tournament, and UNDER in 13 of their last 17 coming off of a SU win. The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 13 games against non-conference opponents, and UNDER in 19 of their last 28 games on Thursday.
Villanova is 4-1 ATS on Thursday, and 34-16-2 ATS when playing non-conference teams. They are 37-18-1 ATS against teams with a winning record, and 2-6 ATS coming off of a SU win. They are 1-4 ATS after a win against the spread, and 1-5 ATS against ACC teams.
The total has gone OVER in all 4 of their games coming off of a win spreadwise, and OVER in 8 of their last 9 after a SU victory. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 against ACC teams, and OVER in 9 of their last 11 games overall. The total has gone OVER in 3 of their last 5 games in the NCAA tournament, and UNDER in 11 of their last 17 at a neutral site.
Between these teams, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in this series.
They last met on March 2, 2004, when Miami-Florida won 59-56, and won against the spread as 8 point home underdogs. The total went UNDER the 143 point line set by sportsbook companies in that game.
For Thursday night's matchup, gambling odds list the Wildcats as -4 point favorites. The over/under is set at 140 ½ points. On the moneyline, Villanova is listed at -190, with Miami-Florida a +165.