Such circumstances lead to a situation in which the team dynamic is hard to anticipate, which naturally makes the NBA gambling odds hard to evaluate. Sometimes the addition of new key players leads to the NBA gambling odds underestimating a team, while at other times it leads to the NBA odds overestimating a team.
NBA gambling odds will underestimate a team with new key players for several reasons. Sometimes the NBA odds simply do not give credit to the new players, especially if they are rookies.
It is especially hard for lines makers to establish excellent NBA odds for players they have only seen perform in the NCAA, so sometimes these players are underestimated when they join the NBA.
Additionally, it can often occur that the NBA gambling odds underestimate a squad because the new players are not considered to be extremely good independently, but they happen to have excellent chemistry together.
Consequently, the NBA gambling odds do not anticipate how well a new group of players will be able to perform together. Similarly, it may take other NBA teams time to adapt to the new competition and the team therefore performs exceedingly well for a short period of time and is able to cover the NBA gambling odds consistently.
Nevertheless, there are also many times when the NBA gambling odds overestimate the abilities of teams with new key players. Such circumstances typically occur when a team has acquired a player who is widely recognized for his skills and therefore the NBA gambling odds reflect his potential.
However, the fact of the matter is that basketball is a team sport and it can take time for even star players to adapt to their new team mates. Therefore, the NBA gambling odds anticipate the potential of an acquisition before that potential is truly met.
This phenomenon with the NBA gambling odds is especially important to keep in mind at the beginning of the season and around the trade deadline when one or two stars are usually traded. By anticipating this phenomenon you will be able to have a much better analysis of the NBA gambling odds than many of your peers.