We have a potential Eastern Conference playoff matchup on Friday night, as the Miami Heat take on the Atlanta Hawks. The game at Philips Arena is scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM ET, and will be televised on FSN. Currently, the Hawks are a solid home favorite.
The Heat are 29-24 SU and 26-26-1 ATS so far this season. They are 13-13 on the road, and 18 of their games have gone OVER the line, with 34 going UNDER, and 1 being a PUSH. They are coming off of a 119-101 loss to the San Antonio Spurs, where they failed to cover the spread as 6 ½ point home underdogs. The total went OVER the 196 point line set by sportsbook sites in that game.
The Hawks are 31-24 SU and 27-27-1 ATS overall this year. They are 17-9 at home, and 27 of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other 28 all going UNDER. They are coming off of a 113-90 win over the Chicago Bulls, where they won against the spread as -3 ½ point road favorites. The total went UNDER the 205 ½ point line set by NBA betting pros in that matchup.
Miami is 5-0 ATS against Eastern Conference opponents, and 6-1 ATS on Friday night. They are 5-1 ATS on the road, and 5-1 ATS against the Southeast Division. They are 4-1 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record at home.
The total has gone UNDER in all 4 of their recent games against Southeast Division teams, and UNDER in 5 of their last 6 coming off of a SU loss. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 9 against the Eastern Conference, and UNDER in 11 of their last 15 games on Friday night. The total has gone UNDER in 18 of their last 26 coming off of a loss spreadwise, and UNDER in 17 of their last 26 games on the road.
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS on Friday night, and 5-2 ATS at home lately. They are 1-4 ATS against the Southeast Division, and 1-6 ATS coming off of at least three days of rest.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 8 games after a SU or spread win, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 against the Southeast Division. The total has gone UNDER in 21 of their last 29 games on Friday night, and UNDER in 10 of their last 14 against teams with a winning record overall. The total has gone OVER in 15 of their last 22 coming off of at least three days of rest.
Between these teams, the Heat are 2-7-1 ATS lately, and 1-4 ATS when playing at Atlanta. The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in this series. The total has gone UNDER in 27 of their last 38 meetings, and UNDER in 5 of their last 7 matchups in Atlanta.
They last met on January 31, 2016, when Miami won 105-87, and won against the spread as 3 point home underdogs. The total went UNDER the 197 ½ point line set by sports gambling bookmakers in that game.
For Friday night's matchup, current gambling odds list the Hawks as -10 point home favorites. The over/under is set at 197 points. On the moneyline, the Heat are a +425, with the Hawks listed at -550.