First of all, before you get down to the technical fundamentals of making baseball betting picks you must know for a fact that you cannot and will not make a living at making baseball betting picks on huge home favorites in baseball betting odds.
Baseball betting at one time could be profitable for gamblers that bet top shelf favorites with their best pitchers on the mound because they only had to lay out, at most, -$220 or so.
The sportsbooks finally got tired of getting routinely pounded by these types of wagers and so they took remedial action, which was to raise the baseball betting odds up to astronomical numbers well in excess of -$300 and more to scare off potential action and to make it less profitable for those gamblers who don't scare so easily.
Now, when you lose baseball betting picks on prohibitive favorites, it takes a week or more to make up for that one loss, as in essence, losing on a -$300 favorite is like losing three units/games at even money in baseball betting odds. So with that in mind, you must cast your eyes elsewhere for the best values with your baseball betting picks.
Often times, a good strategy is to take a top shelf pitcher at home under the total rather than lay the big money on the side bet in baseball betting. This is a way in which you can still take advantage of an ace hurler and still get something out of it without breaking the bank or making a huge overlay versus baseball betting odds.
Another good way to find value is to wait and take a proven contender team when they are matched up against a similar level type team as instead of taking quality at an overlay price you will be getting quality at a plus or value added price in baseball betting. You simply must get over your aversion that the mass public has towards underdogs in baseball betting.
The public is too afraid to take dogs but that is where the money is in baseball betting picks because of the added value that they bring from being unwanted. When you can get a quality team at a dog price you have value in baseball betting.