Though most teams have struggled in recent years against the mighty Pats, HC Mike Shanahan’s Broncos (4-2, 1-4-1 ATS) have been successful, covering the spread in five of their previous six meetings with New England (3-2, 2-3 ATS), including back-to-back victories in Foxboro.
Denver might be 4-2 and on top of the AFC West, but they’re certainly not #1 in the hearts of their football betting fanatics. They haven’t beaten an NFL betting line since thrashing Oakland 41-14 in the opening weekend of the season, including two outright losses as favorites.
Last Sunday, it was Jacksonville that handed them a 24-17 loss in spite of the fact that Denver was favored by 3.5-points. The Jags rolled off 416 yards of offense and successfully chewed up over 33 minutes of game clock in spite of Denver having the ball for the first five and a half minutes of the ball game.
WR Brandon Marshall highlighted the offense, grabbing nine balls for 98 yards. He’s 4th in the NFL with 521 receiving yards. QB Matt Cassel looked lost against the Chargers last weekend, completing 22/38 passes for just 203 yards and an interception. That’s not the only problem the Pats have, though.
The defense looked like Swiss cheese, giving up 306 passing yards on just 27 attempts, failing to record a sack, or a turnover.
Sunday marked the first time that New England had been an underdog since the ’06 playoffs, but they clearly weren’t dogged by enough points for their NFL betting fans, as the Chargers had no problems covering the 6-point spread per the closing football betting line. Oddsmakers have made the Patriots 3-point home favorites over the Broncos with little justification.
New England is just 1-7 ATS in their L/8 against the AFC and 2-9 ATS in their L/11 overall. The ‘total’ now sits at 48 after being bought up from the opener of 46. The ‘over’ has cashed in seven of the L/10 meetings between these two clubs.