Preakness wagering handicappers who fixate on Lookin at Lucky’s sixth place finish at Churchill Downs may be ignoring a classic play with the Preakness odds.
Lookin at Lucky will bring one of the most successful handicapping theories to the Preakness horse racing gate on Saturday as a beaten favorite.
Often times when the chalk loses a race the public will turn against him the next time out, which can often enhance his overall board value and make for a far better play than was the case when he was the favorite.
This will certainly be the case for Lookin at Lucky and the Preakness Stakes odds for Saturday as he is now being called a “fraud” and a horse that never should have been among the favorites in the Kentucky Derby.
It should not be forgotten than Lookin at Lucky had not run in the slop that he had to contend with at Churchill Downs and that it is only one race of an otherwise successful career.
Lookin at Lucky will enter Preakness wagering with a record of six wins, one place, and one show in nine career starts with total winnings of $1.5 million as one of the most successful horses in the California circuit.
With jockey Martin Garcia and trainer Bob Baffert he has some of the best help in the entire Preakness Stakes betting field. Baffert is a three time winner of the Eclipse Award as the nation’s top trainer and was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 2009. Baffert has the Preakness on his resume of past wins.
Lookin at Lucky built up his impressive record for Preakness Stakes wagering with wins in the Rebel Stakes and Cash Cal Futurity before finishing a disappointing third in the Santa Anita Derby on April 3. Lookin at Lucky has three Grade 1 wins to his credit and won six out of the first seven races of his career.
Those looking for a value bet on Preakness Stakes action would do well to look hard at this Baffert trained horse.